It should go without saying that Trump's decision enabled Turkey to step up its counterterrorism efforts in the region. The U.S. withdrawal presented an opportunity to the Turks to prevent the establishment of a terrorist statelet across their southern border. Going forward, there is no way that the YPG militants will have a seat at the negotiating table in Geneva – no matter with whom they choose to work.
To assess the emerging situation in Syria, Ankara needs a comprehensive road map. Here's what needs to be done:
Turkey and the Trump administration must actively coordinate their efforts to plan the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Syria. Trump's pledge to leave Syria slowly and in coordination with Turkey was a good sign. Still, both sides must be vigilant to ensure that U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) won't derail the process.
There must be a joint coordinated effort to fight Daesh for the time being. Turkey and the U.S. must take into consideration European concerns over the resurgence of Daesh terrorism, recalling that the YPG threatens to release Daesh terrorists from their custody.
The United States must turn over its military bases and other logistical infrastructure in northern and northeastern Syria to Turkey, its NATO ally.
Turkey must underline that it will conduct military operations in Manbij and east of the Euphrates river without causing civilian casualties – as it did during the Euphrates Shield and Olive Branch operations.
The scope and timing must reflect the capabilities of the Turkish military and the Free Syrian Army (FSA). Military planners must not stretch our resources too thin and must consider potential terror attacks by Daesh and the YPG.
Although the YPG itself is beyond saving, it may be possible to transform the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) after the YPG militants are dismissed. Local Arab tribes and non-YPG Kurdish fighters could make valuable contributions to counterterrorism operations.
Turkey and the U.S. must find ways to prevent the Bashar Assad regime from protecting YPG militants on the ground.
It is important to stress that the YPG's ethnic cleansing campaign causes illegal immigration and add that Europe's love affair with the group doesn't contribute to a lasting solution for the Syrian crisis.
Western nations, including the United States, must become part of the political transition process through Turkey. The refugee crisis alone requires the European Union to play some role in diplomatic proceedings. That approach would stress Turkey's role as a key player that works simultaneously with the West, Russia and Iran.
Turkey must take the necessary steps to use its close cooperation with the Trump administration in Syria to take bilateral relations to the next level.
In diplomatic talks with Russia and Iran, Turkey must make the case that the eradication of YPG fighters and the return of refugees are crucial to the creation of a new Syria. Turkey will play a significant role in the reconstruction of the war-torn country.
[Daily Sabah, 25 December 2018]