The Limits of Trump’s Diplomacy
When President Trump took office, he promised to end the wars in Gaza and Ukraine, positioning himself as the only leader capable of achieving peace. However, his diplomatic efforts have so far fallen short.
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Techno-polar reckoning: US vs. China
“If war is what the U.S. wants, be it a tariff war, a trade war, or any other type of war, we’re ready to fight till the end,” declared Lin Jian, a spokesperson for China’s Foreign Ministry. This assertive stance was expressed in direct reaction to the Trump administration’s significant escalation of tariffs on Chinese imports, increasing them from 10% to 20%.
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The recent transformation of Europe’s security architecture has reemphasized the traditional security dimension in Turkish-European relations. The European security and defense architecture is facing one of the most significant turning points and challenges of the post-Cold War European geopolitical order.
With President Donald Trump entering his second term, the reinstated "maximum pressure" policy continues to escalate tensions between Iran and the United States. In February, the Trump administration imposed sanctions targeting Iran's oil sector. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the goal of these new sanctions was to "collapse its already buckling economy."
This analysis explores the potential effects of Trump’s agenda, providing a comprehensive look at how it may influence global trade and energy dynamics.
At the beginning of the week, the House of Representatives passed a temporary budget bill that will fund the federal government until September. After pushing the bill through without Democratic support, Republican representatives left Washington to return to their districts—signaling they are not open to further negotiations. Under normal circumstances, the Senate would amend the bill through negotiations and vote on a unified version. However, by refusing to consider any changes, Republicans are presenting Democrats with a stark choice: accept the bill as is or be blamed for shutting down the federal government.
Breaking the bond: Trans-Atlantic dispute over values
The heated debate between the United States and its trans-Atlantic allies reached a peak when U.S. Vice President JD Vance said the U.S. stake in Ukraine’s economy is “a better security guarantee than 20,000 troops from some random country that has not fought a war in 30 or 40 years.” Although Vance later stated that he did not “even mention the U.K. or France,” his earlier comments had already drawn reactions in London and Paris; particularly, veterans in the United Kingdom accused him of being disrespectful to the memories of hundreds of U.K. troops who died alongside the U.S. forces in Afghanistan and Iraq.
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Recession Fears Rattle U.S. Stock Market
The sharp market drop on Monday is undermining President Trump’s economic promises. In the run-up to the election, Trump gained a significant advantage over Kamala Harris by focusing on inflation and high prices. However, his trade wars are rattling the markets. His push for a more protectionist U.S. economy has reignited fears of a recession. Over the weekend, Trump’s remarks about a “painful transition period” in the economy turned existing concerns into full-blown panic. While he may attempt to calm the markets with new statements, it’s clear that he remains committed to transforming the American economy through tariffs and domestic production incentives.
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The inauguration of Donald Trump as the 47th president of the U.S. took place on Jan. 20, 2025. He said during his election campaigns, "There will be no war from Day 1 when I come to the office." It is too early to tell if he can achieve its objectives and commitments to ending wars in Europe and the Middle East, but it is obvious that Trump is more powerful than he was in his first term. He took the majority of both the House and Senate and will be in full control of the United States government for the next two years.
During a recent diplomatic engagement, Foreign Affairs Minister Hakan Fidan underscored Türkiye’s commitment to fostering a regional counterterrorism framework independent of global hegemonic influence during his visit to Baghdad. Subsequent statements from Fidan revealed that a preliminary agreement had been reached for a joint cooperation mechanism involving Iraq, Syria, Jordan and Türkiye. The inaugural meeting of this quadrilateral alliance, initially centered on combating Daesh, is set to convene in Jordan with the participation of high-ranking officials, including the ministers of Foreign Affairs and National Defense, alongside the National Intelligence Organization (MIT).
