Israel, Gaza, Déjà vu
Israel has been living in political déjà vu for some time now. It neither comprehends the transformation in the region, nor does it have the political capacity to analyze the future.
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Egypt, ‘Civilian Coup' and Liberal Tragedy!
Mohamed Morsi, by forcing the top names of the SCAF to resign, squeezed decades of the Turkish political calendar into a single month. From now on, in its battle against the tutelage regime he will struggle not only to come to power but also be in power.
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Iran has to change its perspective on the region if it really wants to become a determining factor in the region post-al-Assad.
The Syrian regime, with its latest move, has cleared the path for Turkey to be a more legitimate and involved actor of the current crisis.
We can assess where exactly Egypt falls on the “revolution” and “change” spectrum by tracing the “times” of Egypt post-Mubarak through the lenses of the Turkish political “calendar.
“Should al-Assad step down, disaster will ensue.” This assumption not only asserts that a region with al-Assad is possible, but it insists that it would in fact be better. Is that really so?
Houla and al-Assad
The massacre in Houla last week demonstrated once again that not much has changed since the uprisings started in Syria. The Baathist regime continues to kill in front of the whole world.
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For the First Time a Candidate is Elected in Egypt
The practice of universal suffrage in Egypt, without limitations on gender and ethnicity, is a hopeful sign for the region.”
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The final leg of support for the Syrian Ba’ath regime’s geopolitical comfort zone was the political climate generated by the other dictatorships in the area.
Egypt has been focused on one issue alone since the overthrow of Mubarak. The subject of the main discussions going on for months now is the elections.
Israel wants regime change in Syria, as much as it wanted a change in Egypt, the heart of the Camp David order, of which the Syrian regime is branch.
Syria, which is the most wounding issue we face today, has turned into yet another test for the global platforms.
Tahrir nowadays is not only a space for those who are celebrating the anniversary of the revolution but also a convenient place to hide for those who want to escape responsibility.
The “New Egypt” will be shaped to a great extent by a “negotiation” process between the army and the political actors in opposition. It is likely that Egypt’s transition to democracy will be a long and difficult process.
The wave of uprisings that spread through North Africa, and the Middle East have brought our region to an interesting junction in terms of the proxy wars.
Egypt has to confront military tutelage, economic crisis, regional order and international dynamics all while learning the particulars of democratic political competition.
The new paradigm in relations seems to be working so far in critical issue areas, including Syria and NATO’s missile shield.
In the wake of the Arab League’s embargo against Syria, a new period is ahead for the Baathist regime.
Turkey is so involved in developments in the Middle East that it cannot be a mere spectator to what is currently taking place.
The withdrawal seemed to be an achievement of the Palestinians and a positive step towards peace by the Israelis.
Despite a historical affinity between Israelis, Turks, strong interaction between people, NGOs, think-tanks was never established, that’s exactly what we need.
