Policy Report
Sibel Düz Muhammed Sefa Koçakoğlu
Policy Report
Sibel Düz Muhammed Sefa Koçakoğlu
Policy Report
Bilgehan Öztürk Sibel Düz Murat Yeşiltaş Mehmet Uğur Ekinci Rıfat Öncel Murat Aslan Kutluhan Görücü Tunç Demirtaş Mehmet Salah Devrim İsmet Horasanlı Mehmet Çağatay Güler Muhammed Hüseyin Mercan
Policy Report
Yücel Acer Fethullah Bayraktar
Analysis
Tunç Demirtaş
Recently, many politicians and academics have been discussing the current status of the world system and its future. While some claim that the Western, read American, hegemony has come to an end, others claim that the United States has been trying to reclaim global hegemony.
The era when rapid advancements in artificial intelligence took us by surprise has long passed. Today, breakthroughs occur at such a relentless pace that they have become the norm rather than the exception. A few weeks before, the United States reaffirmed its commitment to dominating AI by announcing a $500 billion investment in AI hardware, coupled with the rollback of key AI safety regulations from the previous administration. Meanwhile, China introduced a low-cost, open-source AI model, a development that sent shockwaves through the industry, erasing billions from the market value of American AI companies. At the same time, Sam Altman unveiled OpenAI’s roadmap for 2025, detailing upcoming releases of GPT-4.5 and GPT-5, models anticipated to significantly advance reasoning and decision-making capabilities.
During a recent diplomatic engagement, Foreign Affairs Minister Hakan Fidan underscored Türkiye’s commitment to fostering a regional counterterrorism framework independent of global hegemonic influence during his visit to Baghdad. Subsequent statements from Fidan revealed that a preliminary agreement had been reached for a joint cooperation mechanism involving Iraq, Syria, Jordan and Türkiye. The inaugural meeting of this quadrilateral alliance, initially centered on combating Daesh, is set to convene in Jordan with the participation of high-ranking officials, including the ministers of Foreign Affairs and National Defense, alongside the National Intelligence Organization (MIT).
In the bustling lecture halls of Turkish universities, a quiet but profound diplomatic force is taking shape. The country’s international student population has grown sixfold in a decade, driven largely by Syrians.
The 61st Munich Security Conference revealed that the global system has been evolving toward multipolarity. Today, we live in a transitory period. In other words, the world is in undeclared chaos. The United Nations system has collapsed, especially after the crime of genocide committed by Israel in partnership with the Western global powers. There is no norm, rule and principle that Israel and its accomplices have not violated since Oct. 7, 2023. The U.N. and other global institutions were otherized and even demonized by the Western countries due to their call on the Israeli government to end its atrocities in Gaza and the international community to take necessary measures against Israel.
Türkiye has a long history of judicial and legal reforms, dating back to the 19th century. This transformation has been influenced by various factors throughout history. The primary motivation for reshaping the judiciary and legal framework was the push for Westernization during the Ottoman era.
The European Sky Shield Initiative (ESSI), spearheaded by Germany, emerged in response to escalating missile threats, particularly from Russia, following Moscow’s aggressive actions in Ukraine
Israel has been enhancing its military capabilities by extensively using AI technologies in both defense and offensive operations. Defense systems like the Iron Dome use AI-supported radars to detect and intercept missile threats automatically, thereby minimizing human intervention and increasing operational efficiency. Similarly, AI-based offensive systems such as Habsora and Lavender offer autonomous functionalities by eliminating human involvement in target detection and attack planning. However, the employment of these technologies in civilian areas has resulted in substantial civilian casualties, and open sources provide substantial evidence that Israel has violated international law during these military operations.
This edition sheds light on Türkiye’s approach to mitigating economic constraints, strengthening defense exports, and leveraging diplomatic influence to shape the regional and global security order in 2025.
The present Report examines Israel’s attacks from legal perspective depend ing on the relevant rules of international law. In this sense, the Report handles three main issues. The first is whether Israel’s attacks can be justified on the basis of the right to self-defense. The second concerns the violations of international humanitarian law and the related crimes resulting from the violations. Finally, the Report evaluates the ongoing judicial processes initiated against or related to Israel.
Amid regional turmoil, Türkiye’s strategic security outlook remains focused on countering terrorism, particularly the PKK. Against the backdrop of ongoing conflicts in Syria and Iraq, Türkiye confronts the persistent threat of mass migration and instability spillover. In response, Türkiye has implemented measures to secure its borders, including the establishment of buffer zones within Iraqi territory to prevent terrorist infiltration.
One year after the outbreak of the civil war on April 15, 2023, this report examines the origins of the crisis in Sudan, its cost and key actors, the policies and objectives of international powers in the country, and the steps and initiatives taken to resolve the conflict. It also considers the potential for a new Darfur crisis in the future and offers policy recommendations for resolving the current crisis.
The election outcomes between former President Donald J. Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris represent divergent paths that will reshape domestic policies and international approaches to climate change, energy production, and sustainable development policymaking
This analysis begins by examining Hamas’s motivations behind electing Sinwar as the new leader and considers his potential to exert a Yasser Arafat-like influence in Palestinian politics, given his distinct personal traits and strong grassroots appeal
The main disagreements between the two countries are historical, religious, border, strategic and political issues.
This analysis delves into the intricate relationship between AI, its energy consumption, and environmental security. By examining current research and integrating new analytical insights, this analysis seeks to underscore the urgent need for sustainable AI development and the establishment of international regulatory frameworks to mitigate its environmental impact.
This study argues that the problems between Erbil and Baghdad, and their prolonged existence prevent Türkiye from deepening cooperation with Iraq in terms of security, water issues, and economic relations
This analysis evaluates Türkiye’s national space program, its milestones, and strategic initiatives, like sending its first citizen to the International Space Station (ISS), within the context of the new space race.
What are Trump and Harris’ positions on AI? How might each of their policies influence the United States’ role in AI development and regulation on the international stage? How Should Türkiye Respond to Respective Policies?
How can Large Language Models (LLMs) enhance diplomacy, international cooperation, and economic productivity? What are the potential risks and challenges associated with the deployment of LLMs in military and diplomatic decision-making? What legal and ethical considerations arise from the widespread use of LLMs, and how can these be addressed?
What is the significance of the CFE? Which countries suspended or has withdrawn from the CFE? Why did Turkiye suspend the practice of the CFE? Can Turkiye start an armament program exceeding the existing limits of the CFE? What could be the impact of Turkiye’s suspension?
How can Artificial Intelligence (AI) technologies be used effectively for counterterrorism efforts? How does the quality of data affect the effectiveness of AI in counterterrorism? What are the ethical and privacy considerations in using AI for counterterrorism?
What is the EU AI Act? What are the main challenges it may face? What is the impact of this regulation within the global regulatory landscape?
What was the post-Oct. 7 stance of Western thinkers and intellectuals? Why does the Western intellectual world ignore Palestine? Why have thinkers, who believe the Palestinians are right and support them, become targets of ‘lynching’?
What are Trump and Harris’ positions on AI? How might each of their policies influence the United States’ role in AI development and regulation on the international stage? How Should Türkiye Respond to Respective Policies?
Gloria Shkurti Özdemir
Kadir Üstün
September 2024
The AK Party, with its nearly 25 years of governance experience, has been playing an increasingly prominent role in Africa, particularly in the Horn of Africa.
On September 11, 2001, the attack on the Twin Towers shattered the American public's sense of 'trust'. The American society, which until then had lived a trouble-free life between two oceans, realized that there was no country beyond the outreach of terrorism. American interventionism was materialized in Afghanistan and Iraq after the then-US President George W. Bush declaration of the Crusader War. It has led to the death or injury of millions, the destruction of cities, and the emergence of new types of instability due to ethnic and sectarian divisions.
The Somalia-Ethiopia summit hosted by President Erdoğan in Ankararesulted in a declaration, emphasizing constructive partnership opportunities for peace and cooperation. One of the most critical aspects of the declaration was Ethiopia’s affirmation of its respect for Somalia's independence, sovereignty, and territorial integrity.
Amid intense political discourse and debates on terrorism, it’s essential to reevaluate Türkiye’s approach to its fight against terrorism and terrorist threats. Such a review could help refine the current vision, address any gaps, and correct missteps to improve both efficiency and effectiveness. Recognizing that combating terrorism is a dynamic process, regular updates to vision and strategy are natural. However, updating should never imply compromising on resilience.
On October 7, 2023, the Palestinian group Hamas launched a major attack on Israeli settlements near Gaza. This unexpected operation drew global attention and led to a series of responses from Israeli officials and their allies. Following this event, the Middle East experienced a significant escalation in regional conflicts, particularly involving Hezbollah, a Lebanese group with close ties to Iran.
When Apple incorporated Siri into its systems in 2011, it was considered a milestone in Artificial Intelligence (AI) development. This achievement marked the culmination of extensive research and development in natural language processing (NLP) and voice recognition technologies, demonstrating significant advancements in making AI more accessible and user-friendly to everyday consumers.
What happened? Who are the attackers? What was the goal of the attack? How is Türkiye combating DHKP-C? What does this mean for the future?
What is the background and significance of the Turkish foreign minister’s visit to Washington? What are the differences and similarities between the two countries’ Ukraine policies? Will the U.S. sell F-16s to Türkiye? What is Türkiye’s position on Finland and Sweden’s NATO membership? What is Washington’s view on Türkiye’s engagement with the Syrian regime?
When did the journey of the Bayraktar AKINCI UCAV begin? What were the successes of Bayraktar AKINCI during its development process? What are the advanced and technical specifications of Bayraktar AKINCI? Which operational capabilities of Bayraktar AKINCI come to the fore? What kind of capability transformation will AKINCI introduce to the TAF?
What is the importance for the Armenians of the 'Armenian Genocide' allegations? What are the characteristics of the concept of genocide? Is U.S. President Biden’s decision to recognize the 'Armenian Genocide' lawful? Should Turkey continue to take the issue seriously? What is Turkey doing and what more should it do about the issue?
What is the overall COVID-19 breakdown in Belgium? How has the Turkish community become a scapegoat in the COVID-19 pandemic? What were the reactions against making the Turkish community a scapegoat? How did right-wing populism try to take advantage of the situation? What has been the attitude of the Turkish community in Belgium during the COVID-19 crisis?
Why did tensions rise in Kashmir in February 2019? What happened on August 5 in Kashmir? What do Articles 35A and 370 mean to Kashmiris? What happened after the abrogation of Articles 35A and 370? Did the abrogation of Articles 35A and 370 lead to further integration or disintegration of Kashmir and India?
On Jan. 28, an armed attack occurred at the Santa Maria Church in Istanbul’s Sarıyer district, resulting in the loss of one life. The Counterterrorism and Intelligence Branch of the Istanbul Police Department arrested two foreign suspected members of the Daesh terrorist organization. Some 34 individuals, also detained in connection with the attack, were brought before a magistrate for potential arrest. The Interior Ministry reported 1,046 operations against Daesh from June 1, 2023, to present. Why did Daesh – dormant since 2017 – once again target Türkiye? Is the assault on Santa Maria Church an isolated incident, or does it signify the manifestation of the organization's broader regional plans? How can we decipher the attack given the timing, method, target, and profile of the assailants? What is the status of counterterrorism operations against Daesh? Prominent experts have provided their assessments for our readers.
Southern Türkiye was jolted by twin earthquakes on February 6 that caused unprecedented devastation across an extremely vast area, impacting 11 provinces. Almost on par with the scale of the devastation, Türkiye has also received a huge amount of humanitarian aid from many countries with which Türkiye both has cordial and strained relations. In light of the considerable level of solidarity showcased by many countries, it is still unclear whether this atmosphere of solidarity and amicability will translate into tangible outcomes in the respective bilateral relations between Türkiye and these nations. Likewise, it is also unclear whether the solidarity displayed by countries with which Türkiye had tense relations until the earthquakes will cause a thaw in bilateral ties and lead to a new chapter in relations. We asked foreign policy experts to weigh in on these questions.
What is the purpose of the European Political Community? Is it a realistic proposal? If the Community is formed, how will the EU’s relations with other countries included in the Community be affected? Several experts presented their opinions about these questions for SETA.
We asked the leading Iran experts in Turkey and around the world to analyze the reasons behind the protests in Iran, the demands of the protestors, the Iranian administration’s attitude, the likely future of the protests and their impact on Iran. We present the assessments of those experts below.
We reached out to several experts for more on how to understand the developments in Iraq and what possible future scenarios may be derived from the current situation.
The political situation in Pakistan is still not stable, and a new government is expected to be formed soon. However, at this point, it is important to understand the reasons that led to this turmoil and what the removal of Khan from office means for Pakistan. Within this framework, several experts from Turkey and Pakistan have briefly analyzed the events and their implications, not only for Pakistan but for the region and the world as well.
Bilgehan Ozturk says cross-border strikes were already planned but the timing of operations are key for the national interests of Türkiye.
The Assistant Editor of Insight Turkey and Researcher of SETA Foundation, Gloria Shkurti Özdemir attended virtually to Andy Boyns’s news program in A News, to clear the...
The Assistant Editor of Insight Turkey and Researcher of SETA Foundation, Gloria Shkurti Özdemir, attended Strait Talk program which appears in the TRT World screen, to talk...
SETA’s energy researcher, Gloria Shkurti Özdemir, gave an interview for A News regarding the latest development in the Eastern Mediterranean.
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