SETA Security Radar | Türkiye’s Geopolitical Landscape in 2025
This edition sheds light on Türkiye’s approach to mitigating economic constraints, strengthening defense exports, and leveraging diplomatic influence to shape the regional and global security order in 2025.
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Importance of US-Türkiye partnership in resolving the Russia-Ukraine war
In 2023, the number of conflicts worldwide increased to 59, the highest recorded since data collection began in 1946. US President-elect Donald Trump's victory in the November presidential election raised the possibility of ending at least some of these conflicts. Ending wars was a central commitment of Trump’s election campaign. Americans cast their votes for Trump because they do not want to spend their taxes in these endless wars anymore. While cutting financial aid to war-torn countries could help, the new US administration may need a more comprehensive approach. As Trump pursues his policy to end wars, he may need partners and facilitators to share the burden.
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Türkiye has been following an active regional policy since the eruption of the Arab insurgencies and revolutions. One of the main principles of Türkiye’s regional policy is the principle of “regional initiatives for regional problems.”
In 2024, Türkiye faced various security threats and regional changes, highlighting the challenges of counterterrorism and geopolitical turbulence. The year revealed both vulnerabilities in Türkiye’s defenses and new opportunities to consolidate influence in a shifting Middle East.
Türkiye, which sent troops to Somalia on Jan. 3, 1993, took a step toward establishing international peace and stability as part of the United Nations' Second Somalia Operation (UNOSOM II). This step opened the door to a new era in which Türkiye intervened in conflict areas in Somalia with diplomatic and humanitarian assistance. The visit of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who was the prime minister at the time, to Somalia in 2011 was a turning point in Türkiye's approach to Somalia.
The year 2024 has been recorded as one of the most critical years of modern times for the Middle Eastern region. It was full of conflicts, wars, humanitarian and economic crises, political devastation, mass killings and even genocide.
Assad’s ouster raises gains and risks for Syria and Türkiye
With the ouster of Bashar Assad’s regime and the end of a nearly 14-year civil war, Syria is looking to a new future of abundant opportunities and several risks that could derail any effort to rebuild, but neighboring Türkiye is lending a helping hand.
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Pillars of Türkiye’s Syria policy
Türkiye is preparing for a paradigmatic shift in its Syria policy after the collapse of the Bashar Assad regime. Before Dec. 8, Türkiye’s approach to Syria centered on the fight against terrorism and the refugee problem.
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An article by the Foundation for Political, Economic and Social Research (SETA) highlighted that Türkiye’s success in the Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS) 2023 is largely attributed to policies to expand capacity and increase access to higher education.
Türkiye has crowned its nearly 20-year-long win-win-oriented policy in Africa by successfully concluding the Ankara Process, one of the many constructive efforts aiming at contributing to peace, security and development of the continent.
The latest issue of Insight Turkey, which provides a comprehensive analysis of Türkiye-Africa relations and political dynamics. This edition thoroughly examines Türkiye’s evolving policy toward Africa, with a focus on its regional ties, engagement with African organizations, and the dynamics of bilateral partnerships. Additionally, it analyzes the ongoing war in Gaza, tracing events since October 7 and offering in-depth discussions of the complexities surrounding the conflict.
