NATO at the Crossroads

In this collection of essays, we discuss how NATO can overcome strategic challenges and recalibrate the strength of the alliance under the new geopolitical circumstances. The essays in this report focus on NATO’s transformations after the Ukraine war and attempt to understand Türkiye’s foreign policy alternatives within the context of its relations with the West, Russia, and NATO.

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NATO at the Crossroads
Making Sense of Türkiye s Role in the Future of

Making Sense of Türkiye’s Role in the Future of NATO

This paper consists of two main parts. In the first part, it explains the main priorities that NATO is focusing on by elaborating on the Russian attack on Ukraine, the China challenge, and the changing character of military and non-military threats. In the second part, the paper delivers a framework to make sense of why Türkiye particularly attaches unique significance to some issues. It concludes that Türkiye will continue to support NATO endeavors but the country expects its allies to cooperate on counterterrorism efforts and also expects calibrated and meaningful engagement in Greek-Turkish disagreements.

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Ankara hopes to be a balancing factor in the region that generates security and stability.

This analysis examines the reasons behind Greece’s policy of escalating tension and whether that policy has any legal ground.

Athens must restore the demilitarized status of the islands without further delay – unless it wants its sovereignty over the Eastern Aegean islands to be called into question.

Ankara seeks to properly synchronize the simultaneous normalization processes with its partners for a strategic balance of power in the region

New chapter in Turkey-Saudi Arabia relations

'One could expect normalization between Ankara and Riyadh to occur as quickly as the process between Turkey and the United Arab Emirates'

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New chapter in Turkey-Saudi Arabia relations
Turkey-Saudi relations New axis of normalization

Turkey-Saudi relations: New axis of normalization

It may not be easy for Turkey and Saudi Arabia to open a fresh chapter quickly, but both have already taken good steps toward it

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Considering that there will certainly be fresh crises in the future just like the recent one in Al-Aqsa, Ankara and Tel Aviv should focus on ways to overcome the serious tests through diplomacy

Whatever it does, the opposition bloc in Turkey fails to come up with a consistent mutual political agenda against what it sees as its rival

The question of sanctions could be a good way for Turkey and the U.S. to start repairing fractured relations amid the new dynamic

The Turkish government's new diplomatic initiative with its regional and global partners is based on logic, while the opposition still has no idea why it rejects the process

The new phase in Turkey's ties with the African continent is beyond a mere economic project, and offers a great future for both sides based on mutual gains

Now or later, Turkey and Saudi Arabia’s resuming realist and pragmatic politics could bring about broader regional implications.

As a provider of security and stability, Turkey has the potential to become the balancing power in the Gulf region

The argument that Israel does not need to normalize its relations with Turkey, too, is quite weak. The Abraham Accords may have strengthened Tel Aviv’s hand, but a fresh nuclear deal between the United States and Iran stands to change the regional balance of power anew. In this sense, Israel would not want to be the last country to pursue normalization with Turkey.

In the light of today's cumulative security challenges, Ankara is likely to give normalization processes with its counterparts more chance

The Gulf states undertook huge transformations in their foreign policy in 2021.

With Turkey's foreign policy, President Erdoğan aims to protect and foster the country's international and regional interests

While it may be too early to make a precise prediction for the future, the prospect of normalization is promising and vital for the region. Eyes are now on the Armenian prime minister

The new diplomatic momentum in the trilateral relations is potential enough to bring peace to the entire region