Turkey In the Global Pecking Order
The general elections on Nov. 1 come at a critical juncture in which Turkey's position in the global pecking order as the rotating president of the G20 would be put to a stringent test. A re-injection of political stability might alleviate many systemic risks and turn around gloomy expectations concerning the country's prospects.
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The AK Party's Mission
The AK Party derived its power from three main sources: First, a discourse of civilization allowed the movement to incorporate various political ideologies into its own platform
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The rising tide of PKK violence and the Cizre episode leaves ordinary citizens questioning what the Kurdish community wants.
After realizing that joining the anti-Erdoğan bloc with opposition parties would legitimize its presence, the PKK, by doing so, created itself a very large and comfortable zone to easily terrorize
While being politically restricted by the PKK's ending the cease-fire to cancel the reconciliation process, the HDP, again because of the terrorist organization, is losing those who voted for them in hopes of peace.
The reason why Öcalan will appear on the stage once again is to bring disintegrated radical Kurdish nationalism together. He will play a part in alleviating Kurdish social segments that are angry with the PKK.
The PKK and the Reconciliation Process
The PKK is threatened by the rise of politicians' influence over Kurdish citizens, which means the terrorist organization will eventually lose its presence in the region.
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The Two Sides of Radical Nationalist Kurdish Politics
The Kurdish electorate is naturally confused about the sincerity of the HDP, which missed a huge opportunity to become a key partner in the reconciliation process by trying to legitimize the terrorist attacks by the PKK.
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The developments following the elections and breakdown of the reconciliation process demonstrated that the HDP's unprecedented success in the elections was indeed a pyrrhic victory.
The shocking aspect of the wave of terrorist violence that struck Turkey this week was that it originated from the radical-Islamist ISIS and secular-Kurdish nationalist PKK at the same time.
Quite contrary to Turkeys anti-ISIS campaign in the region, the PKK is ungratefully trying to pull the Turkish government into the chaos between ISIS and the PKK-supported PYD
Economists are fond of using the term new normal to depict the changing perception of normalcy in domestic and international markets following a major crisis, or turning point that radically alters the fundamental parameters of the system.
Since the AK Party has failed to secure majority in Parliament allowing the party to form a single-party government, various coalition scenarios are on the table now to determine Turkey's future politics.
