Syria as "A Wicked Problem"
Syria with the hundreds of thousands of dead and millions of refugees, has become the most significant humanitarian disasters of the recent history.
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Turkey and the ISIL Nonsense
ISIL, which emerged in Iraq, did not need the Turkish border to get into Syria. Anyone who can read a map can see there is a 600 km border between Iraq and Syria. Furthermore, the political conditions that made ISIL possible have nothing to do with Turkey.
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Obama and his team understood that public opinion has been heavily affected by "war fatigue" after two lengthy wars in the Middle East and avoiding any more conflict in the region has become priority.
Surely, questions about the war in Iraq will never end. We will see more accusations and reporting on this war in the coming years and decades.
No need to say that this will create a substantial additional bill for energy-dependent countries like Turkey, and multi-pronged strategies shall be prepared beforehand to ensure energy security.
Since the beginning of the American occupation, Turkey has consistently been one regional actor that has been most supportive of Iraq. It has consistently exerted the most effort towards Iraqs consolidation.
ISIS and the Fight for the Region
The difficulty with dealing with ISIS is also partly because of its demographics which has a lot to do with the use of multiple strategies.
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The ISIL Threat as a New Geopolitical Variable
The attack on Mosul and the fall of the second-largest city in Iraq may also have some serious consequences regarding the future of international and regional relations in the region.
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Multilateralism, in the absence of a clearly articulated policy goal and willingness for international leadership, will not achieve results by itself.
In fact, two elections in Syria and Egypt generated further pessimism about the future of these countries, the fate of democracy and the stability of the region as a whole.
There is nothing to be hopeful about an election that was produced by a coup détat orchestrated with the political support provided by the United States, financing by the Gulf and violence by the Baltajis.
President Obama's policies on these matters will have serious impacts on U.S. popularity in the world.
The domestic identity of the Russian people plays an important role in determining the role of Russia in the international system. Their dream for their future will play an important role in determining the future of Russian foreign policy.
It may be too late for this to succeed, but there does not seem to be a better option unless, of course, the international community is prepared to let the Syrian opposition fail.
The Ak Party which integrated a discourse of civilization with Erdoğan's leadership, has the courage to confront all fears of the history of Turkish modernization.
Turkey viewed the Arab awakenings as a positive development for both the region and for itself.
