This analysis has been drafted to handle the Afghan folder first by presenting the general picture in Afghanistan with an eye toward global and regional attitudes, the probable modus operandi of the Taliban and, finally, the basics of Turkish foreign policy regarding Afghanistan, insofar as Turkey may become an essential engaging actor to Afghans.

This analysis examines the developments in Libya in order to portray why the risks continue to exist, looks at the agendas of the foreign actors and why they are committed to shaping the political and security landscape in Libya, and discusses why the Turkish military presence is an opportunity for both Libya and its allies. The analysis concludes that Turkey may cooperate with other actors as far as the Libyan public welcomes them, and that the Turkish military presence in Libya is a guarantee for the sustainability of Libyan stability.

This analysis attempts to explain developments in the Donbas region of Eastern Ukraine, where a low-intensity armed conflict has been taking place since early 2014. The Kyiv authorities, on the one hand, and the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) and Luhansk People’s Republic (LPR), on the other, are the two major parties to the conflict. Meanwhile, Russia is perceived as the main supporter of the two unrecognized republics of Donetsk and Luhansk.

The analysis elaborates, among others, on the Biden Administration’s European expectations and offers an outlook on potential future political and geostrategic relations and developments between the EU, Russia, the United States, and Turkey.

This analysis argues that the increase in the LNG trade between Turkey and the U.S. is a win-win situation for both states.

This analysis focuses on the position of different U.S. actors regarding the Turkish-Russian energy relations and, specifically, on TurkStream which is one of the most important projects undertaken by the two states.

The analysis examines the recent maritime boundary delimitation agreement signed between Greece and Egypt, and discusses its implications for the Greek-Turkish dispute in the Eastern Mediterranean.

The analysis discusses the evolving dynamics of Turkey’s military involvement in Libya, laying out Turkey’s motivations for supporting the UN-recognized government in Tripoli, and examining how Turkey’s recent military achievements on the ground may leverage its hand diplomatically to secure a political settlement that protects its interests in Libya and in the Eastern Mediterranean.