Contingent nature of Turkey's ties with US and Russia

The main issue on the table during the Erdoğan-Putin summit was the increased regime and Russian attacks on Idlib and Afrin. These attacks were jeopardizing the terms of the deal that was reached in 2018. Both leaders confirmed their willingness to maintain the existing status quo in Syria and work together to restore security and stability in the war-torn country. Both Moscow and Ankara are more pressured than ever to find a political solution in Syria due to the enduring costs and potential security risks of the Syrian civil war.

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Contingent nature of Turkey's ties with US and Russia
Sochi meeting and 3 levels of Turkish-Russian relations

Sochi meeting and 3 levels of Turkish-Russian relations

It is time to look at Turkey-Russia relations from the perspective of an 'early response to great power competition' rather than the classical balance-of-power approach.

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The Turkish-Russian ceasefire in Syria has run its course, setting the stage for confrontation between Ankara and Moscow if a new buffer to smoothen tensions isn’t achieved.

An important meeting was held between the leaders of Turkey, Iran and Russia in Ankara on Sept. 16. The three actors' positions were close in the last trilateral meeting. The leaders of the three countries agreed on the structure of the constitutional commission and reiterated their commitment to the territorial integrity of Syria. They also supported the idea of reducing the tensions in Idlib province.

Çankaya Palace in Ankara was home to a historic trilateral summit on Monday. The presidents of Turkey, Russia and Iran met for the fifth time in two years to discuss the situation in Idlib, refugees, the most recent developments in northeastern Syria and the proposed constitutional committee.

Despite its ups and downs, the Astana Process is the only serious option currently playing a decisive role to create a permanent solution in the Syrian crisis

Idlib agreement: A strategic threshold

If Russia and Turkey can make the Idlib deal work, their cooperation in Syria will mean the two countries have crossed a strategic threshold

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Idlib agreement A strategic threshold
Idlib crisis ends with major diplomatic victory for Turkey

Idlib crisis ends with major diplomatic victory for Turkey

President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan held talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Sochi on Monday. .

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Regime leader Assad wants to claim victory over Idlib to prove he has Syrian lands under his control, says analyst

It is crucial that the international community concentrates on diplomatic efforts to revive the political process, and it must also put more pressure on Russia, Iran and the Assad regime to prevent the imminent military offensive against Idlib

The crisis in Idlib has brought the question of Syria to the top of the agenda one more time for the world.

The Tehran trilateral summit did not result in the best solution to the crisis in Idlib, but it was a good starting point for the peace process

Syrian regime forces are preparing to launch a major military operation against opposition-led groups in the Idlib province of northern Syria.

The Helsinki summit between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin did not yield any tangible outcomes, but can be described as a good start to discussing several bilateral and regional problems

The June 24 parliamentary and presidential elections are one of the most critical elections in the political history of the Turkish Republic.

Turkey and the United States started implementing the Manbij road map, a framework created by Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu and U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo on June 4. On June 12-13, senior military officials from both countries held talks in Stuttgart, Germany, and worked out the details, including the establishment of monitoring posts and patrol routes in Manbij.

Head of the Turkish think tank, SETA, Burhanettin Duran said that the AK Party decided to hold elections not because of an ongoing crisis or political turbulence, but rather to tackle any future turbulence. He added that Turkey's hand in dealing with adverse conditions will be strengthened after the polls

The chemical attack in Eastern Ghouta resulted in unprecedented tensions between Russia and the United States in Syria.

The Ankara summit, which facilitated closer cooperation between Turkey, Russia and Iran in Syria, fueled two concerns in Western capitals

The fast-changing power balance in the Syrian field makes rational calculations and predictable policies futile.

The ongoing turmoil in the Middle East, particularly the escalation of the Syrian war, can be seen as an indication of the restart of a cold war